Rule-of-thumb BTU per sq ft by climate zone

These BTU-per-square-foot bands are rule-of-thumb estimates by IECC climate zone, not a load calculation. They give a first-pass size; a professional Manual J accounts for insulation, windows, orientation and infiltration. Use the AC-size and furnace-size tools to apply them with adjustments.

Every figure below is capacity — BTU per hour per square foot — even where a column reads BTU/sq ft for short. If that distinction is new to you, BTU explained covers BTU versus BTU/h before you size anything from these bands.

Cooling — rule-of-thumb BTU/sq ft

ClimateBTU/sq ft1,500 sq ft ≈
Cool / northern2030,000 BTU (2.5 tons)
Moderate / mixed2537,500 BTU (3.1 tons)
Warm / southern3045,000 BTU (3.8 tons)
Hot / desert3552,500 BTU (4.4 tons)

Heating — rule-of-thumb BTU/sq ft

ClimateBTU/sq ft1,500 sq ft ≈
Mild winter3045,000 BTU output
Moderate4060,000 BTU output
Cold5075,000 BTU output
Very cold6090,000 BTU output

Rule-of-thumb estimates by IECC climate zone — a starting point, not a Manual J load calculation.

Heating bands for Canada

IECC climate zones stop at the border. These rows map each province and territory onto the same four heating bands using heating degree-days below 18 °C, so a Canadian reader can pick a band from the heating table above. Each page works the band through to a BTU/h figure for its major centres.

Province / territoryReference cityHeating degree-daysBand
British ColumbiaVancouver2,781Mild winter (~30 BTU/sq ft)
AlbertaCalgary4,994Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
SaskatchewanRegina5,626Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
ManitobaWinnipeg5,672Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
OntarioToronto3,434Moderate (~40 BTU/sq ft)
QuebecMontreal4,281Moderate (~40 BTU/sq ft)
New BrunswickFredericton4,601Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
Nova ScotiaHalifax4,189Moderate (~40 BTU/sq ft)
Prince Edward IslandCharlottetown4,517Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
Newfoundland and LabradorSt. John's4,690Cold (~50 BTU/sq ft)
YukonWhitehorse6,491Very cold (~60 BTU/sq ft)
Northwest TerritoriesYellowknife8,009Very cold (~60 BTU/sq ft)
NunavutIqaluit9,642Very cold (~60 BTU/sq ft)

Heating degree-days from the Environment and Climate Change Canada Canadian Climate Normals 1991–2020. Several provinces span more than one band — the reference city is the largest centre, not a provincial average. See HVAC sizing in Canada.